Novelist Ewan Morrison told the attendees of the Edinburgh international book festival that books—as we know them—will be dead within 25 years, brought to their end by the digital revolution. The Guardian published a condensed version of his argument a couple weeks ago.
More importantly than the death of paper books, according to Morrison, will be “the end of ‘the writer’ as a profession.” He writes, “The economic framework that supports artists is as important as the art itself; if you remove one from the other then things fall apart,” arguing for the necessity of the traditional publishing system of advances and royalties.
Especially advances.
Morrison fears that writers will follow their musician, filmmaker, journalist, and photographer brethren in a “... dramatic, and in many cases terminal, decrease in earnings…,” blaming it mostly on piracy and Amazon, Apple, and Google. His piracy statements and citations are misguided (on his part) and propaganda (on the part of those he cites). Chiding authors who leave traditional publishing, Morrison maintains, desperately, that things must remain the same: “Authors must respect and demand the work of good editors and support the publishing industry, precisely by resisting the temptation to ‘go it alone’ in the long tail.” Yes, authors desperately need editors; but publishers? Not so much; especially not the big, corporate houses. It’s been decades since publishing houses actually nurtured emerging talent.
James Bradley, also a novelist, thinks Morrison’s screed should be read “as much as provocation as thesis,” and argues that paper books will evolve from consumer good to prestige object.
Bradley, like Morrison, falls into the piracy trap laid by the entertainment cartel and its fact-free propaganda. The entertainment cartel loves to cite each incident of piracy as a lost sale. It’s become something of a mantra, as if like the politicians they bought, if it’s repeated enough people will believe it. But it’s a lie; and a particularly nasty one at that. There’s scant evidence that piracy leads to lost sales; almost all of those sales would never have been made to begin with. Emerging evidence indicates that “pirates” are the media companies’ best customers.
In July, Douglas C. Merrill, Google’s former chief information officer and now EMI’s chief operating officer of new music and president of digital business, used his keynote address to tell attendees of the annual CA Expo in Sydney that after profiling the behavior of file sharing service users he discovered that those “thieves” were also iTunes’ best customers. “That’s not theft, that’s try-before-you-buy marketing and we weren’t even paying for it….”