Washington University, Saint Louis is using some sort of statistical forecasting model and expert predictions as a sort of nonmonetary sports book for the Eldred v. Ashcroft case.
While there’s currently no statistical forecast available, and only two of the three expert predictions have been recorded, early indications are that the Copyright Term Extension Act (CTEA) of 1998 will be overturned.
Unidentified Expert 2 predicts a 5 - 4 reversal with Rhenquist, Stevens, Souter, and Breyer voting to affirm; O’Connor, Scalia, Kennedy, Thomas, and Ginsberg voting to reverse.
Unidentified Expert 3 predicts an even more decisive 6 - 3 upset for the entertainment industry, with Rhenquist, Ginsberg, and Breyer voting to affirm; Stevens, O’Connor, Scalia, Kennedy, Souter, and Thomas voting to reverse.
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